If Hillary
Rodham Clinton wins Iowa's presidential caucuses, it
won't be because of endorsements or poll numbers.
It will be because of people like Carol McCarty,
who lives in the state's heavily Republican northwest
corner but plans to attend her local caucus and
stand up for Clinton.
''Hillary's
been through the mill,'' McCarty, who calls herself a
retired homemaker, said at a recent Clinton
campaign meeting at a Pizza Ranch restaurant in
Primghar, Iowa. ''She took a lot of abuse as first lady,
and hopefully she knows how to handle it. She's
very strong, she's very smart, and I'm glad she's
a woman.''
In Iowa it's
all about getting people to the caucuses on a cold night
this winter.
Identifying
supporters like McCarty—and persuading them to
show up at the caucuses to choose delegates for
each candidate—is the central challenge facing
Clinton and her rivals in this important early voting
state. Democratic candidates have mounted vast
organizational efforts across Iowa, deploying
hundreds of staff and volunteers to feed, court and
cajole finicky caucus-goers months before a vote
is cast.
''Our
organizers sit down with supporters, go to their homes,
go to coffee with them, and give them several ways
to become involved,'' said Angelique Pirozzi, who
runs Clinton's Iowa field program. ''It's fundamentally
a program of relationships.''
Democratic
rivals John Edwards and Barack Obama have also mounted
strong operations in Iowa, and polls show a tight
race here even as Clinton maintains a lead in
national polls.
Much has
changed here for Clinton since May, when a memo surfaced
from her deputy campaign manager urging her to
skip Iowa—''our consistently weakest
state,'' in the memo's words.
Since then the
campaign has redoubled its efforts in the state, opening
19 field offices and hiring more than 100
staffers. Supporters are being recruited to chair
each of the state's 99 counties and 1,784 precincts.
Clinton has stepped up her visits, and the
campaign recently began running its first
television commercials.
Identifying
supporters and persuading them to caucus for a candidate
remains a slow and meticulous process for all the
campaigns. Democratic campaigns also focus much of
their efforts in rural Republican-leaning counties,
where even a handful of supporters showing up on
caucus night can yield delegates for a candidate.
In Primghar
just nine voters showed up for what was billed as the
Clinton campaign's O'Brien County kickoff meeting.
The group was treated to pizza and presentations
by local field organizer Rebecca Slutzky and by Rep. Jay
Inslee, who flew to Iowa from his home state of Washington.
''I'm here
because Iowa's the most important place to be. The rest
of the world watches and waits to see who Iowa
picks,'' Slutzky, a Virginia native, told the
group. ''If you're undecided and you want to hear more,
we'll set up a meeting. I'll sit in your living
room as long as it takes.''
To make their
pitch, Slutzky and Inslee carefully went through talking
points. Attendees listened and asked questions,
but by the end most remained uncommitted. Only
McCarty promised to attend the caucuses for Clinton.
''This has
made my whole trip worthwhile!'' Inslee said, asking
McCarty if she'd be willing to call her friends
and talk up Clinton's candidacy.
''I'll speak
personally to people. I'm not a great phone person,''
McCarty replied.
It's equally
slow going for Clinton's rivals in Iowa.
Edwards, who
placed a close second to John Kerry in the 2004
caucuses, has staked his candidacy on winning Iowa
this time. He and his wife, Elizabeth, completed a
five-day bus tour of the state last week, making stops
in 31 communities. The campaign has opened 15
field offices and is running an extensive outreach
program to the state's many rural areas.
Edwards's Iowa
spokesman, Dan Leistikow, spoke of the importance of
''old-fashioned Iowa
campaigning''—including canvassing, phone banks
and organizational meetings—to identify
supporters. The campaign has mailed out thousands of
DVDs to Iowa Democrats outlining Edwards's proposed
health care plan and has run commercials touting
his opposition to the Iraq war.
Leistikow said
the campaign relies on visits from Edwards himself to
make the strongest case.
''We're giving
people the chance to see him in small communities, town
halls, and house parties to let them see he's the
candidate who's got the most substantive answers
and the strongest ideas for change,'' Leistikow said.
''We always sign up a lot of people after they see him.''
Obama has
perhaps the largest field operation in Iowa, with 29
offices across the state and more scheduled to
open soon. But Steve Hildebrand, Obama's top field
organizer, acknowledged that the Illinois senator
remains ''the new kid on the block.''
''A lot of
Iowa voters still don't know much about Barack, and we
are going up against the woman who has tried to
portray herself as the eventual nominee. We have a
big job ahead of us,'' Hildebrand said.
To that end,
the campaign has run television commercials outlining
Obama's biography and has mailed a biographical
DVD to thousands of past caucus-goers. It is also
relying on extensive phone banking and one-on-one
meetings. Volunteers and staff are all on hand to
make the pitch to voters, and surrogates like
campaign manager David Plouffe and media adviser David
Axelrod have flown in to help out.
Obama finished
a five-day bus tour of the state last week during which
he met with voters in a variety of small and
medium-size settings. He's stepped up those
appearances in part to address grumbles from Iowa
activists early in the campaign that he was
favoring large rallies over more intimate
gatherings Iowa caucus-goers have come to expect.
As for Obama's
much-touted effort to bring new and younger people into
the political process, Hildebrand said the effort
was full speed ahead in Iowa—a tall order,
since just 10% of Democratic caucus-goers in 2004 were
under 35.
''We have a
very motivated base of supporters—young people,
others—and we're not going to have any
difficulty getting to them to show up on the most
important day in the election,'' Hildebrand said.
He said the
campaign expected to see a number of Republicans and
independents show up on caucus night in order to
reregister as Democrats to support Obama.
Among the
other candidates, Bill Richardson has mounted an
aggressive push in Iowa in recent weeks and has 13
offices in the state.
Chris Dodd has
eight offices, and Joe Biden has six. Both have spent
considerable time in the state in the past month,
even as they struggle in polls. (Beth Fouhy, AP)
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