Opponents of
abortion and race-based affirmative action have had more
setbacks than victories so far this political season as they
try to place measures with a strong pull for
conservative voters on the ballots of numerous states
this November.
At least five of
the proposals have failed, and others face legal
challenges. However, a proposal to ban most abortions
already has made South Dakota's ballot, and several of
the other measures could ultimately advance, including
two in the potential swing state of Colorado.
The pending
measures are the product of two separate multistate
campaigns, one mounted by anti-abortion activists who want
to define human life as beginning at fertilization,
and the other led by California businessman and
activist Ward Connerly, who opposes affirmative action
programs based on race and gender.
Connerly has
prevailed three times in past elections, with voters in
California, Michigan, and Washington approving proposals
banning government-sponsored race and gender
preferences in public education, state hiring and
public contracts.
Connerly targeted
five states with similar measures this year, but the
campaign already has suffered two defeats -- conceding that
too few signatures would be gathered by the deadline
in Missouri and bowing out in Oklahoma in the face of
challenges to the signatures gathered there.
Connerly blames
harassment and political conniving for the setbacks; his
critics contend the petition campaigns were rife with fraud
and deception.
Signature-gathering is in progress for Connerly's measures
in Nebraska and Arizona. His allies already have
submitted more than enough signatures in Colorado,
although opponents have challenged nearly 69,000 of
them.
Connerly, who is
of mixed racial background, contends that the historic
Democratic presidential race between Hillary Rodham Clinton
and Barack Obama proves his contention that racial and
gender preferences are no longer justifiable public
policy.
''The argument
for it is that society is racist and sexist, and that
argument is totally collapsing,'' Connerly said. ''We should
go to socioeconomic affirmative action ... but don't
put race into the equation.''
Supporters of the
so-called Human Life Amendment -- which would define
''personhood'' as beginning with fertilization -- initially
targeted four states this year. But the proposal
failed to clear a legislative committee in Georgia and
was rejected on technical grounds by state officials
in Oregon.
On Tuesday,
however, backers of the proposal in Colorado announced they
had gathered well over the required number of signatures to
get it on the November ballot. Signature-gathering for
a similar measure is under way in Montana.
The anti-abortion
community is divided over the measures, partly on
strategic grounds. The National Right to Life Committee has
not endorsed them, nor have Roman Catholic leaders in
Colorado and Montana.
Supporters
embrace the measures as a frontal assault on Roe v.
Wade, the 1973 Supreme Court ruling that established a
nationwide right to abortion. They expect any
voter-approved Human Life Amendment to be challenged
by abortion-rights backers, triggering a legal battle that
might lead to the Supreme Court.
''We think this
is the best vehicle to challenge Roe,'' said Brian
Rooney, an attorney with the Michigan-based Thomas More Law
Center, which helped draft the proposed amendments.
''Some people who
are pro-life don't think the Supreme Court is of the
mind to overturn it,'' Rooney added. ''We say you'll never
know until you ask.''
Opponents say the
proposals could have far-reaching impact if they became
law, including the banning of some forms of birth control.
Nancy Keenan, head of NARAL Pro-Choice America, said
the measures were ''far out of the mainstream'' and
were being pushed in part to re-energize ''depressed and
deflated'' conservative voters.
''But we take
these very seriously,'' Keenan said. ''It takes time and
money to run a campaign to defeat them.''
An unrelated
anti-abortion measure was pushed hard in Missouri before its
backers abandoned it following a lawsuit by Planned
Parenthood. The measure would have made abortion an
act of ''medical negligence'' unless the woman was
first evaluated for risk factors.
In California
anti-abortion forces are trying to place on the ballot a
proposal requiring parental notification before a minor can
obtain an abortion. California voters have twice
rejected similar measures.
In South Dakota,
voters two years ago rejected a measure that would have
banned all abortions except to save a mother's life.
Abortion foes are trying again this year, placing on
the ballot another broad ban with exceptions in cases
of rape, incest and serious health threat to the
mother.
Beyond abortion
and affirmative action, there are several other
potentially volatile ballot measures.
Already qualified
for Florida's ballot is a proposed state constitutional
amendment outlawing same-sex marriage. Arizona legislators
may place a similar measure on the ballot there, and
gay-marriage opponents in California say they have
submitted enough signatures to do likewise.
California's
situation is noteworthy because the state Supreme Court is
scheduled to rule Thursday on gay marriage. If it approves
same-sex unions, a ballot measure in November would
provide voters a chance to affirm or overturn that
ruling.
In Arkansas,
conservatives are gathering signatures for measure aimed at
banning gay people from adopting or being foster parents.
Another Arkansas measure would require government
agencies to verify all those seeking public benefits
are legal U.S. residents.
Two years ago
left-of-center groups tried to counter the conservatives'
ballot-measure tactics by successfully pushing proposals in
several states to raise the minimum wage. There is no
such coordinated effort this year, in part because
liberal forces feel optimistic about their overall
election prospects.
''The right wing
is organizing around same old bag of tricks on social
issues, but I don't think they'll deliver as much as they
expect,'' said Kristina Wilfore of the liberal Ballot
Initiative Strategy Center. ''We're not as desperate
as the other side to change the conversation.'' (AP)