Prominent
evangelical leaders who spent the summer hoping Fred
Thompson would emerge as their favored Republican
presidential contender are having doubts as he begins
his long-teased campaign.
For social
conservatives dissatisfied with other GOP choices, the
Law & Order actor and former Tennessee
senator represents a Ronald Reagan-like figure,
someone they hope will agree with them on issues and
stands a chance of winning.
But Thompson's
less-than-clear stance on an antigay federal marriage
amendment and his delay in entering the race are partly
responsible for a sudden shyness among leading
evangelicals.
''A month or two
ago, I sensed there was some urgency for people to make
a move and find a candidate,'' said Tony Perkins, president
of the Family Research Council, a Washington-based
conservative Christian group. ''Right now I think
people are stepping back a little and watching. The
field is still very fluid.''
A loose network
of influential evangelical leaders known as the Arlington
Group met privately Wednesday and Thursday in Washington to
discuss presidential politics and other issues,
participants said.
Although the
group does not endorse candidates, individual members have
done so in the past, and one of the organization's founding
principles is to get the movement's leaders on the
same page when possible.
Some in the
meeting shared their presidential leanings, but the
consensus was that more time is needed to gauge
Thompson's performance, according to a participant.
A clearer picture
may develop October 19-21 during a ''Values Voter
Summit'' in Washington that will include a presidential
straw poll.
In June, Thompson
met privately with several Arlington Group members,
many of whom are uncomfortable with the GOP top tier for
various reasons: Arizona senator John McCain for
championing campaign-finance overhaul and labeling
some evangelical figures ''agents of intolerance''; former
New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani for backing abortion
rights and gay rights; and former Massachusetts
governor Mitt Romney for his social-issue policy
reversals and--for some members--his Mormon
faith.
With the
post-Labor Day primary push under way, the
65-year-old Thompson faces a crucial month to prove he
is the best alternative for a key GOP constituency.
''He's got a real
opportunity to be the most credible conservative
candidate across the board,'' said Gary Bauer, a one-time
presidential aspirant who heads the advocacy group
American Values. ''Whether he can put it all together
remains to be seen. But he's got a real chance to
emerge as the major conservative alternative to Giuliani.''
Others are
skeptical about whether Thompson can fill that role.
Rick Scarborough,
a Southern Baptist preacher and president of
Texas-based Vision America, said that while he is encouraged
by Thompson's strong voting record in the Senate
against abortion, he questioned the candidate's
commitment to social issues.
''The problem I'm
having is that I don't see any blood trail,''
Scarborough said. ''When you really take a stand on issues
dear to the heart of social conservatives, you're
going to shed some blood in the process. And so far,
Fred Thompson's political career has been
wrinkle-free.''
Thompson's
long-delayed entry is another concern, Scarborough said.
''The hesitancy has made us wonder whether he has the
stomach for what it's going to take,'' he said.
Earlier this
summer, doubts crept in following reports on Thompson's role
in crafting campaign finance reform and stories that he
lobbied for an abortion rights group.
More recently,
Thompson has come under scrutiny for his position on a
constitutional amendment on same-sex marriage, a defining
issue for the Christian right.
Thompson told CNN
in August that he supports an amendment that would
prohibit states from imposing their same-sex marriage laws
on other states. That falls well short of what
evangelical leaders want: an amendment that would bar
same-sex marriage altogether nationwide.
Thompson's
position surprised evangelical leaders who say they met with
him in June and came away thinking he shared their desire
for a more sweeping constitutional change. Now, they
wonder if he is flip-flopping.
One person in
attendance--Mathew Staver of the Liberty Counsel, a
Florida-based conservative legal group--said Thompson
described going back and forth about the merits of an
amendment prohibiting same-sex marriage nationwide.
''At one time, he
said he was against it,'' Staver said. ''Then he said
in June he was for it. So if now he's saying he's against
it, to me that's a double-minded person. And that
would be a real concern for religious conservatives.''
Asked about
same-sex marriage while campaigning in Iowa last Friday,
Thompson said he supports a traditional view of marriage as
being between a man and a woman, but he did not
criticize gays and lesbians.
''I'm not going
to pass judgment on several million of my fellow
citizens,'' Thompson told reporters. ''I think anybody who
knows me knows how I feel about the importance of the
family. A president of the United States should not go
out of their way to castigate or pass judgment on a
large segment of people.'
There was no
response to messages left with Thompson campaign.
Several Christian
right leaders said opposition to a broad amendment
would hurt Thompson with evangelicals, but not necessarily
cause irreparable harm. Others played down the issue,
pointing out that their favored approach was
politically impossible anyway because Democrats
control the House and Senate.
Richard Land,
president of the Southern Baptist Convention's Ethics and
Religious Liberty Commission, said Thompson's position is
consistent with the former senator's support for
limited federal government and giving power to the
states.
Land said it is
healthy that expectations for Thompson have diminished
from unrealistic levels and he does not think evangelical
excitement has dimmed for a man he described as a
''masterful retail politician.''
Many evangelical
leaders said one of Thompson's biggest draws is his
perceived electability. Some are watching whether former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, a former Baptist
minister, can build on his second place finish last
month in the Iowa straw poll.
Tim Wildmon,
president of the Tupelo, Miss.-based American Family
Association, said that while he likes Huckabee, Thompson's
better name recognition and fund-raising potential
create a strong draw for evangelicals.
''This is a
dilemma a lot of people have,'' Wildmon said. ''They want to
support the candidate that most reflects their values. ''But
at the same time, you have to balance that against
finding someone who can actually win.'' (Eric Gorski,
AP)